HOW IT WORKS
Data Driven Sports turns match information into probability estimates using statistical models — not tips, hunches, or guarantees. Here's exactly what happens, and what the numbers do (and don't) mean.
The models behind it
⚽ Football
A Poisson-based scoring model with a Dixon-Coles correction — a well-established method that adjusts for low-scoring games and draw frequency to estimate win/draw/loss probabilities.
🏏 Cricket
A chasing win-probability model that reads the live match state — target score, overs remaining, wickets lost, and run rate — to estimate the batting side's chance of reaching the target.
🏎️ Formula 1, 🎾 Tennis, 🥊 Boxing, 🏇 Horse Racing
Each uses its own statistical metrics tailored to the sport — form, ratings, and matchup factors — to produce a probability-based read on the outcome.
What the numbers mean — and what they don't
- ✓ A percentage is a probability estimate— the model's read on how likely an outcome is, based on the data you gave it.
- ✕ It is not a prediction of what will happen. A 70% favourite still loses roughly 3 times in 10. Upsets are normal.
- ✕ It is not betting or financial advice, and not a guarantee of any result. What you do with the information is your own decision.
Credits
Each prediction you run uses one credit. Free accounts start with 10 credits; paid plans include 50 fresh credits every month. See the pricing page for the full breakdown.
Ready to try it? Your first predictions are free.
START FREE